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      "actual_mom_pct": -0.31,
      "error_pp": 0.48
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2023-01",
      "cutoff": "2023-02-13",
      "release_date": "2023-02-14",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": -0.0,
      "naive_mom_pct": -0.31,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.8,
      "error_pp": -0.8
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2023-02",
      "cutoff": "2023-03-13",
      "release_date": "2023-03-14",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.13,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.8,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.56,
      "error_pp": -0.43
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2023-03",
      "cutoff": "2023-04-11",
      "release_date": "2023-04-12",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.35,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.56,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.33,
      "error_pp": 0.02
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2023-04",
      "cutoff": "2023-05-09",
      "release_date": "2023-05-10",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.56,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.33,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.51,
      "error_pp": 0.06
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2023-05",
      "cutoff": "2023-06-12",
      "release_date": "2023-06-13",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.47,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.51,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.25,
      "error_pp": 0.21
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2023-06",
      "cutoff": "2023-07-11",
      "release_date": "2023-07-12",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.36,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.25,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.32,
      "error_pp": 0.04
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2023-07",
      "cutoff": "2023-08-09",
      "release_date": "2023-08-10",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.36,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.32,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.19,
      "error_pp": 0.17
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2023-08",
      "cutoff": "2023-09-12",
      "release_date": "2023-09-13",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.26,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.19,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.44,
      "error_pp": -0.18
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2023-09",
      "cutoff": "2023-10-11",
      "release_date": "2023-10-12",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.32,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.44,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.25,
      "error_pp": 0.07
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2023-10",
      "cutoff": "2023-11-13",
      "release_date": "2023-11-14",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.29,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.25,
      "actual_mom_pct": -0.04,
      "error_pp": 0.33
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2023-11",
      "cutoff": "2023-12-11",
      "release_date": "2023-12-12",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.22,
      "naive_mom_pct": -0.04,
      "actual_mom_pct": -0.2,
      "error_pp": 0.42
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2023-12",
      "cutoff": "2024-01-10",
      "release_date": "2024-01-11",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.0,
      "naive_mom_pct": -0.2,
      "actual_mom_pct": -0.1,
      "error_pp": 0.1
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2024-01",
      "cutoff": "2024-02-12",
      "release_date": "2024-02-13",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": -0.11,
      "naive_mom_pct": -0.1,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.54,
      "error_pp": -0.66
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2024-02",
      "cutoff": "2024-03-11",
      "release_date": "2024-03-12",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.08,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.54,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.62,
      "error_pp": -0.54
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2024-03",
      "cutoff": "2024-04-09",
      "release_date": "2024-04-10",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.35,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.62,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.65,
      "error_pp": -0.29
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2024-04",
      "cutoff": "2024-05-14",
      "release_date": "2024-05-15",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.6,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.65,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.39,
      "error_pp": 0.21
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2024-05",
      "cutoff": "2024-06-11",
      "release_date": "2024-06-12",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.55,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.39,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.17,
      "error_pp": 0.39
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2024-06",
      "cutoff": "2024-07-10",
      "release_date": "2024-07-11",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.4,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.17,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.03,
      "error_pp": 0.37
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2024-07",
      "cutoff": "2024-08-13",
      "release_date": "2024-08-14",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.2,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.03,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.12,
      "error_pp": 0.08
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2024-08",
      "cutoff": "2024-09-10",
      "release_date": "2024-09-11",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.11,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.12,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.08,
      "error_pp": 0.02
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2024-09",
      "cutoff": "2024-10-09",
      "release_date": "2024-10-10",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.08,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.08,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.16,
      "error_pp": -0.08
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2024-10",
      "cutoff": "2024-11-12",
      "release_date": "2024-11-13",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.12,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.16,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.12,
      "error_pp": 0.0
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2024-11",
      "cutoff": "2024-12-10",
      "release_date": "2024-12-11",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.12,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.12,
      "actual_mom_pct": -0.05,
      "error_pp": 0.17
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2024-12",
      "cutoff": "2025-01-14",
      "release_date": "2025-01-15",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.07,
      "naive_mom_pct": -0.05,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.04,
      "error_pp": 0.04
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2025-01",
      "cutoff": "2025-02-11",
      "release_date": "2025-02-12",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.03,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.04,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.65,
      "error_pp": -0.62
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2025-02",
      "cutoff": "2025-03-11",
      "release_date": "2025-03-12",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.21,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.65,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.44,
      "error_pp": -0.23
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2025-03",
      "cutoff": "2025-04-09",
      "release_date": "2025-04-10",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.38,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.44,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.22,
      "error_pp": 0.15
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2025-04",
      "cutoff": "2025-05-12",
      "release_date": "2025-05-13",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.44,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.22,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.31,
      "error_pp": 0.13
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2025-05",
      "cutoff": "2025-06-10",
      "release_date": "2025-06-11",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.33,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.31,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.21,
      "error_pp": 0.12
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2025-06",
      "cutoff": "2025-07-14",
      "release_date": "2025-07-15",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.25,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.21,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.34,
      "error_pp": -0.09
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2025-07",
      "cutoff": "2025-08-11",
      "release_date": "2025-08-12",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.29,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.34,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.15,
      "error_pp": 0.14
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2025-08",
      "cutoff": "2025-09-10",
      "release_date": "2025-09-11",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.23,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.15,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.29,
      "error_pp": -0.05
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2025-09",
      "cutoff": "2025-10-23",
      "release_date": "2025-10-24",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.26,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.29,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.25,
      "error_pp": 0.01
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2025-12",
      "cutoff": "2026-01-12",
      "release_date": "2026-01-13",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.23,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.25,
      "actual_mom_pct": -0.02,
      "error_pp": 0.25
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2026-01",
      "cutoff": "2026-02-12",
      "release_date": "2026-02-13",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.17,
      "naive_mom_pct": -0.02,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.37,
      "error_pp": -0.2
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2026-02",
      "cutoff": "2026-03-10",
      "release_date": "2026-03-11",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.2,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.37,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.47,
      "error_pp": -0.27
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2026-03",
      "cutoff": "2026-04-09",
      "release_date": "2026-04-10",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.27,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.47,
      "actual_mom_pct": 1.05,
      "error_pp": -0.78
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2026-04",
      "cutoff": "2026-05-11",
      "release_date": "2026-05-12",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.63,
      "naive_mom_pct": 1.05,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.85,
      "error_pp": -0.22
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2026-05",
      "cutoff": "2026-06-09",
      "release_date": "2026-06-10",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.79,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.85,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.63,
      "error_pp": 0.16
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2026-06",
      "cutoff": "2026-07-13",
      "release_date": "2026-07-14",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.84,
      "naive_mom_pct": 0.63,
      "actual_mom_pct": -0.35,
      "error_pp": 1.19
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2026-07",
      "cutoff": "2026-08-11",
      "release_date": "2026-08-12",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.38,
      "naive_mom_pct": -0.35,
      "actual_mom_pct": -0.01,
      "error_pp": 0.39
    },
    {
      "target_month": "2026-08",
      "cutoff": "2026-09-10",
      "release_date": "2026-09-11",
      "badge": "BT",
      "forecast_mom_pct": 0.09,
      "naive_mom_pct": -0.01,
      "actual_mom_pct": 0.32,
      "error_pp": -0.23
    }
  ],
  "summary": {
    "observations": 110,
    "mae_pp": 0.289,
    "naive_mae_pp": 0.253
  }
}
