{
  "published_at": "2026-10-02T16:54:03Z",
  "months": [
    "2018-01-01",
    "2018-02-01",
    "2018-03-01",
    "2018-04-01",
    "2018-05-01",
    "2018-06-01",
    "2018-07-01",
    "2018-08-01",
    "2018-09-01",
    "2018-10-01",
    "2018-11-01",
    "2018-12-01",
    "2019-01-01",
    "2019-02-01",
    "2019-03-01",
    "2019-04-01",
    "2019-05-01",
    "2019-06-01",
    "2019-07-01",
    "2019-08-01",
    "2019-09-01",
    "2019-10-01",
    "2019-11-01",
    "2019-12-01",
    "2020-01-01",
    "2020-02-01",
    "2020-03-01",
    "2020-04-01",
    "2020-05-01",
    "2020-06-01",
    "2020-07-01",
    "2020-08-01",
    "2020-09-01",
    "2020-10-01",
    "2020-11-01",
    "2020-12-01",
    "2021-01-01",
    "2021-02-01",
    "2021-03-01",
    "2021-04-01",
    "2021-05-01",
    "2021-06-01",
    "2021-07-01",
    "2021-08-01",
    "2021-09-01",
    "2021-10-01",
    "2021-11-01",
    "2021-12-01",
    "2022-01-01",
    "2022-02-01",
    "2022-03-01",
    "2022-04-01",
    "2022-05-01",
    "2022-06-01",
    "2022-07-01",
    "2022-08-01",
    "2022-09-01",
    "2022-10-01",
    "2022-11-01",
    "2022-12-01",
    "2023-01-01",
    "2023-02-01",
    "2023-03-01",
    "2023-04-01",
    "2023-05-01",
    "2023-06-01",
    "2023-07-01",
    "2023-08-01",
    "2023-09-01",
    "2023-10-01",
    "2023-11-01",
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-01-01",
    "2024-02-01",
    "2024-03-01",
    "2024-04-01",
    "2024-05-01",
    "2024-06-01",
    "2024-07-01",
    "2024-08-01",
    "2024-09-01",
    "2024-10-01",
    "2024-11-01",
    "2024-12-01",
    "2025-01-01",
    "2025-02-01",
    "2025-03-01",
    "2025-04-01",
    "2025-05-01",
    "2025-06-01",
    "2025-07-01",
    "2025-08-01",
    "2025-09-01",
    "2025-11-01",
    "2025-12-01",
    "2026-01-01",
    "2026-02-01",
    "2026-03-01",
    "2026-04-01",
    "2026-05-01",
    "2026-06-01",
    "2026-07-01",
    "2026-08-01"
  ],
  "official_yoy_pct": [
    2.07,
    2.21,
    2.36,
    2.46,
    2.8,
    2.87,
    2.95,
    2.7,
    2.28,
    2.52,
    2.18,
    1.91,
    1.55,
    1.52,
    1.86,
    2.0,
    1.79,
    1.65,
    1.81,
    1.75,
    1.71,
    1.76,
    2.05,
    2.29,
    2.49,
    2.33,
    1.54,
    0.33,
    0.12,
    0.65,
    0.99,
    1.31,
    1.37,
    1.18,
    1.17,
    1.36,
    1.4,
    1.68,
    2.62,
    4.16,
    4.99,
    5.39,
    5.37,
    5.25,
    5.39,
    6.22,
    6.81,
    7.04,
    7.48,
    7.87,
    8.54,
    8.26,
    8.58,
    9.06,
    8.52,
    8.26,
    8.2,
    7.75,
    7.11,
    6.45,
    6.41,
    6.04,
    4.98,
    4.93,
    4.05,
    2.97,
    3.18,
    3.67,
    3.7,
    3.24,
    3.14,
    3.35,
    3.09,
    3.15,
    3.48,
    3.36,
    3.27,
    2.97,
    2.89,
    2.53,
    2.44,
    2.6,
    2.75,
    2.89,
    3.0,
    2.82,
    2.39,
    2.31,
    2.35,
    2.67,
    2.7,
    2.92,
    3.01,
    2.74,
    2.68,
    2.39,
    2.41,
    3.26,
    3.81,
    4.25,
    3.53,
    3.36,
    3.4
  ],
  "official_core_yoy_pct": [
    1.82,
    1.85,
    2.12,
    2.14,
    2.24,
    2.26,
    2.35,
    2.2,
    2.17,
    2.14,
    2.21,
    2.18,
    2.15,
    2.08,
    2.04,
    2.06,
    1.99,
    2.13,
    2.21,
    2.39,
    2.36,
    2.31,
    2.32,
    2.26,
    2.26,
    2.36,
    2.09,
    1.43,
    1.22,
    1.19,
    1.57,
    1.74,
    1.71,
    1.61,
    1.65,
    1.62,
    1.41,
    1.28,
    1.65,
    2.96,
    3.8,
    4.47,
    4.27,
    4.0,
    4.03,
    4.56,
    4.93,
    5.45,
    6.02,
    6.41,
    6.47,
    6.16,
    6.02,
    5.92,
    5.91,
    6.32,
    6.63,
    6.28,
    5.96,
    5.71,
    5.58,
    5.54,
    5.59,
    5.52,
    5.33,
    4.83,
    4.65,
    4.35,
    4.15,
    4.03,
    4.01,
    3.93,
    3.86,
    3.75,
    3.8,
    3.61,
    3.42,
    3.27,
    3.17,
    3.2,
    3.31,
    3.33,
    3.32,
    3.24,
    3.26,
    3.12,
    2.79,
    2.78,
    2.79,
    2.93,
    3.06,
    3.11,
    3.02,
    2.63,
    2.64,
    2.5,
    2.46,
    2.6,
    2.75,
    2.85,
    2.59,
    2.48,
    2.45
  ],
  "official_pce_yoy_pct": [
    1.76,
    1.84,
    2.0,
    2.05,
    2.27,
    2.27,
    2.34,
    2.18,
    2.01,
    2.05,
    1.94,
    1.86,
    1.43,
    1.4,
    1.52,
    1.57,
    1.47,
    1.43,
    1.45,
    1.43,
    1.28,
    1.29,
    1.36,
    1.56,
    1.79,
    1.69,
    1.17,
    0.46,
    0.49,
    0.76,
    0.92,
    1.16,
    1.28,
    1.19,
    1.19,
    1.33,
    1.51,
    1.79,
    2.64,
    3.58,
    3.97,
    4.22,
    4.38,
    4.51,
    4.66,
    5.28,
    5.87,
    6.04,
    6.23,
    6.51,
    6.92,
    6.63,
    6.78,
    7.22,
    6.86,
    6.68,
    6.69,
    6.51,
    6.09,
    5.61,
    5.56,
    5.2,
    4.49,
    4.53,
    4.1,
    3.35,
    3.36,
    3.44,
    3.49,
    3.1,
    2.89,
    2.86,
    2.75,
    2.81,
    2.95,
    2.84,
    2.7,
    2.57,
    2.6,
    2.44,
    2.26,
    2.41,
    2.49,
    2.65,
    2.63,
    2.57,
    2.26,
    2.33,
    2.46,
    2.61,
    2.59,
    2.69,
    2.78,
    2.71,
    2.78,
    2.73,
    2.8,
    3.37,
    3.57,
    3.82,
    3.45,
    3.36,
    3.42
  ],
  "official_core_pce_yoy_pct": [
    1.63,
    1.64,
    1.91,
    1.88,
    1.98,
    1.94,
    2.0,
    1.9,
    1.96,
    1.87,
    2.01,
    2.04,
    1.84,
    1.74,
    1.62,
    1.64,
    1.56,
    1.66,
    1.64,
    1.75,
    1.63,
    1.62,
    1.5,
    1.54,
    1.59,
    1.7,
    1.53,
    1.0,
    1.0,
    0.97,
    1.21,
    1.39,
    1.48,
    1.42,
    1.45,
    1.51,
    1.59,
    1.65,
    2.13,
    3.07,
    3.44,
    3.78,
    3.84,
    3.89,
    3.93,
    4.37,
    4.8,
    5.08,
    5.33,
    5.57,
    5.56,
    5.29,
    5.17,
    5.3,
    5.22,
    5.4,
    5.64,
    5.51,
    5.29,
    5.07,
    5.0,
    4.86,
    4.86,
    4.85,
    4.83,
    4.44,
    4.24,
    3.83,
    3.74,
    3.56,
    3.44,
    3.23,
    3.22,
    3.18,
    3.15,
    3.02,
    2.81,
    2.78,
    2.81,
    2.9,
    2.84,
    2.9,
    2.87,
    2.9,
    2.81,
    2.82,
    2.56,
    2.68,
    2.79,
    2.83,
    2.84,
    2.85,
    2.82,
    2.72,
    2.87,
    2.94,
    2.96,
    3.11,
    3.08,
    3.16,
    3.04,
    2.98,
    3.01
  ],
  "official_supercore_yoy_pct": [
    1.86,
    1.96,
    2.33,
    2.19,
    2.18,
    2.2,
    2.17,
    2.1,
    2.12,
    2.2,
    2.16,
    2.31,
    2.08,
    1.67,
    1.71,
    1.82,
    1.62,
    1.58,
    1.69,
    1.93,
    1.89,
    2.25,
    2.42,
    2.18,
    2.4,
    2.54,
    2.23,
    1.41,
    1.04,
    1.2,
    1.86,
    1.72,
    1.67,
    1.35,
    1.52,
    1.42,
    1.05,
    1.23,
    1.79,
    3.17,
    3.98,
    3.92,
    3.32,
    3.21,
    3.2,
    3.78,
    3.64,
    3.82,
    4.74,
    4.8,
    5.19,
    5.58,
    6.0,
    6.87,
    6.82,
    7.4,
    8.16,
    7.52,
    7.26,
    7.43,
    7.24,
    6.91,
    6.05,
    5.18,
    4.17,
    3.22,
    3.27,
    3.12,
    2.76,
    3.02,
    3.5,
    3.43,
    3.57,
    3.95,
    4.77,
    4.87,
    4.97,
    4.81,
    4.63,
    4.31,
    4.42,
    4.51,
    4.11,
    4.03,
    3.94,
    3.82,
    3.3,
    3.35,
    3.5,
    3.82,
    4.01,
    4.01,
    3.7,
    3.53,
    3.43,
    3.38,
    3.3,
    3.36,
    3.52,
    3.74,
    3.15,
    2.99,
    3.1
  ],
  "validation": {
    "gauge": {
      "corr": 0.9308,
      "mean_abs_gap_pp": 1.06,
      "window": "2018-01..2026-08",
      "lead_lag": {
        "best_shift_months": 1,
        "corr": 0.9452
      }
    },
    "col": {
      "corr": 0.9383,
      "mean_abs_gap_pp": 3.29,
      "window": "2018-01..2026-08"
    },
    "tracker": {
      "corr": 0.9978,
      "mean_abs_gap_pp": 0.1,
      "window": "2018-01..2026-08"
    },
    "supercore": {
      "corr": 0.9371,
      "mean_abs_gap_pp": 0.7,
      "window": "2018-01..2026-08"
    },
    "pce": {
      "corr": 0.9614,
      "mean_abs_gap_pp": 0.7,
      "window": "2018-01..2026-08"
    }
  },
  "gauge_yoy_pct": [
    2.19,
    2.16,
    2.43,
    2.5,
    2.77,
    2.75,
    2.83,
    2.72,
    2.29,
    2.51,
    2.05,
    1.92,
    1.67,
    1.77,
    2.05,
    2.11,
    1.76,
    1.62,
    1.86,
    1.75,
    1.81,
    1.75,
    2.07,
    2.41,
    2.44,
    2.41,
    0.89,
    -0.3,
    -0.37,
    0.07,
    0.23,
    0.69,
    0.59,
    0.5,
    0.66,
    1.07,
    1.22,
    1.71,
    2.99,
    4.87,
    6.09,
    7.23,
    7.85,
    8.32,
    9.04,
    10.29,
    10.85,
    10.99,
    11.39,
    11.63,
    12.2,
    11.73,
    11.89,
    11.72,
    10.37,
    9.51,
    8.88,
    7.71,
    6.7,
    5.7,
    5.67,
    4.78,
    3.69,
    3.67,
    2.41,
    1.19,
    1.65,
    1.87,
    1.9,
    1.32,
    1.31,
    1.78,
    1.47,
    1.73,
    2.06,
    1.87,
    1.82,
    1.61,
    1.56,
    1.06,
    1.14,
    1.37,
    1.66,
    1.84,
    2.1,
    1.9,
    1.54,
    1.36,
    1.51,
    1.76,
    1.71,
    1.93,
    2.05,
    1.94,
    1.77,
    1.72,
    1.79,
    2.94,
    3.22,
    3.51,
    2.65,
    2.83,
    2.82
  ],
  "col_yoy_pct": [
    3.13,
    3.69,
    3.86,
    5.2,
    5.48,
    5.56,
    5.43,
    5.56,
    5.91,
    6.37,
    5.55,
    4.38,
    3.03,
    2.04,
    1.32,
    1.7,
    0.19,
    -0.44,
    -0.07,
    -0.65,
    -0.84,
    -1.02,
    -0.79,
    0.23,
    0.11,
    0.18,
    -0.93,
    -2.44,
    -2.14,
    -1.0,
    -0.99,
    -0.12,
    -0.59,
    -0.79,
    -0.43,
    -0.19,
    0.65,
    2.34,
    3.82,
    6.0,
    7.27,
    8.88,
    9.01,
    9.44,
    10.42,
    12.03,
    12.4,
    12.59,
    14.26,
    15.74,
    18.05,
    20.34,
    20.48,
    22.71,
    20.87,
    20.71,
    24.85,
    24.05,
    20.71,
    19.02,
    15.3,
    13.64,
    9.38,
    7.02,
    5.55,
    3.05,
    4.67,
    6.1,
    4.53,
    3.56,
    3.15,
    2.95,
    3.37,
    3.45,
    3.74,
    4.79,
    3.8,
    2.71,
    2.02,
    -0.84,
    -1.42,
    -1.03,
    0.64,
    2.62,
    3.09,
    1.73,
    0.99,
    0.49,
    1.16,
    1.24,
    1.33,
    1.98,
    2.42,
    0.03,
    -0.37,
    -0.69,
    -0.63,
    2.1,
    1.84,
    2.6,
    1.75,
    2.48,
    3.17
  ],
  "tracker_yoy_pct": [
    2.18,
    2.12,
    2.42,
    2.5,
    2.79,
    2.74,
    2.82,
    2.63,
    2.2,
    2.38,
    1.94,
    1.73,
    1.47,
    1.62,
    1.93,
    2.0,
    1.65,
    1.54,
    1.78,
    1.68,
    1.76,
    1.71,
    2.05,
    2.39,
    2.43,
    2.35,
    0.86,
    -0.09,
    0.14,
    0.75,
    0.91,
    1.32,
    1.14,
    1.05,
    1.13,
    1.49,
    1.5,
    1.9,
    2.98,
    4.38,
    4.95,
    5.39,
    5.41,
    5.28,
    5.51,
    6.44,
    6.88,
    6.97,
    7.5,
    7.84,
    8.58,
    8.31,
    8.79,
    9.09,
    8.3,
    8.11,
    8.16,
    7.52,
    6.93,
    6.32,
    6.53,
    5.86,
    4.85,
    5.02,
    3.94,
    2.91,
    3.52,
    3.76,
    3.74,
    3.07,
    2.97,
    3.32,
    2.98,
    3.14,
    3.48,
    3.24,
    3.17,
    2.87,
    2.79,
    2.33,
    2.35,
    2.58,
    2.74,
    2.89,
    3.05,
    2.79,
    2.38,
    2.22,
    2.37,
    2.69,
    2.69,
    2.91,
    2.98,
    2.74,
    2.58,
    2.38,
    2.41,
    3.51,
    3.86,
    4.2,
    3.26,
    3.47,
    3.36
  ],
  "supercore_yoy_pct": [
    1.3,
    1.36,
    1.74,
    1.67,
    1.76,
    1.69,
    1.72,
    1.61,
    1.59,
    1.57,
    1.56,
    1.71,
    1.58,
    1.3,
    1.35,
    1.38,
    1.24,
    1.24,
    1.41,
    1.58,
    1.61,
    1.84,
    1.98,
    1.72,
    1.84,
    1.97,
    1.46,
    0.65,
    0.35,
    0.61,
    1.12,
    1.18,
    1.05,
    0.69,
    1.0,
    0.99,
    0.69,
    0.75,
    1.48,
    3.06,
    3.81,
    3.91,
    3.64,
    3.5,
    3.73,
    4.51,
    4.42,
    4.67,
    5.55,
    5.88,
    6.35,
    6.36,
    6.61,
    7.06,
    6.76,
    7.2,
    7.59,
    7.11,
    6.77,
    6.68,
    6.53,
    6.1,
    5.35,
    4.51,
    3.64,
    2.82,
    2.75,
    2.48,
    2.3,
    2.17,
    2.26,
    2.15,
    2.32,
    2.53,
    2.95,
    3.05,
    3.13,
    3.03,
    3.0,
    2.8,
    2.65,
    2.76,
    2.76,
    2.71,
    2.7,
    2.63,
    2.1,
    2.25,
    2.44,
    2.77,
    2.95,
    3.07,
    3.04,
    2.79,
    2.94,
    2.85,
    2.84,
    3.19,
    3.37,
    3.43,
    2.82,
    2.6,
    2.71
  ],
  "pce_yoy_pct": [
    1.97,
    1.96,
    2.2,
    2.23,
    2.45,
    2.44,
    2.5,
    2.3,
    2.03,
    2.12,
    1.89,
    1.82,
    1.66,
    1.64,
    1.79,
    1.8,
    1.6,
    1.56,
    1.75,
    1.83,
    1.85,
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    2.23,
    2.28,
    2.29,
    1.27,
    0.36,
    0.16,
    0.59,
    0.82,
    1.09,
    0.92,
    0.67,
    0.85,
    1.03,
    1.04,
    1.34,
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    4.44,
    5.37,
    5.82,
    6.03,
    6.19,
    6.69,
    7.8,
    8.17,
    8.26,
    8.75,
    9.09,
    9.64,
    9.45,
    9.68,
    9.81,
    8.96,
    8.71,
    8.6,
    7.82,
    7.09,
    6.47,
    6.38,
    5.73,
    4.87,
    4.42,
    3.46,
    2.57,
    2.6,
    2.55,
    2.45,
    2.01,
    1.97,
    2.19,
    2.03,
    2.15,
    2.53,
    2.48,
    2.47,
    2.33,
    2.27,
    1.89,
    1.87,
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    2.21,
    2.28,
    2.44,
    2.3,
    1.86,
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    1.94,
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    2.31,
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    2.31,
    2.24,
    2.35,
    3.34,
    3.56,
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    2.96,
    2.98,
    2.93
  ],
  "realtime": {
    "dates": [
      "2018-01-31",
      "2018-02-28",
      "2018-03-31",
      "2018-04-30",
      "2018-05-31",
      "2018-06-30",
      "2018-07-31",
      "2018-08-31",
      "2018-09-30",
      "2018-10-31",
      "2018-11-30",
      "2018-12-31",
      "2019-01-31",
      "2019-02-28",
      "2019-03-31",
      "2019-04-30",
      "2019-05-31",
      "2019-06-30",
      "2019-07-31",
      "2019-08-31",
      "2019-09-30",
      "2019-10-31",
      "2019-11-30",
      "2019-12-31",
      "2020-01-31",
      "2020-02-29",
      "2020-03-31",
      "2020-04-30",
      "2020-05-31",
      "2020-06-30",
      "2020-07-31",
      "2020-08-31",
      "2020-09-30",
      "2020-10-31",
      "2020-11-30",
      "2020-12-31",
      "2021-01-31",
      "2021-02-28",
      "2021-03-31",
      "2021-04-30",
      "2021-05-31",
      "2021-06-30",
      "2021-07-31",
      "2021-08-31",
      "2021-09-30",
      "2021-10-31",
      "2021-11-30",
      "2021-12-31",
      "2022-01-31",
      "2022-02-28",
      "2022-03-31",
      "2022-04-30",
      "2022-05-31",
      "2022-06-30",
      "2022-07-31",
      "2022-08-31",
      "2022-09-30",
      "2022-10-31",
      "2022-11-30",
      "2022-12-31",
      "2023-01-31",
      "2023-02-28",
      "2023-03-31",
      "2023-04-30",
      "2023-05-31",
      "2023-06-30",
      "2023-07-31",
      "2023-08-31",
      "2023-09-30",
      "2023-10-31",
      "2023-11-30",
      "2023-12-31",
      "2024-01-31",
      "2024-02-29",
      "2024-03-31",
      "2024-04-30",
      "2024-05-31",
      "2024-06-30",
      "2024-07-31",
      "2024-08-31",
      "2024-09-30",
      "2024-10-31",
      "2024-11-30",
      "2024-12-31",
      "2025-01-31",
      "2025-02-28",
      "2025-03-31",
      "2025-04-30",
      "2025-05-31",
      "2025-06-30",
      "2025-07-31",
      "2025-08-31",
      "2025-09-30",
      "2025-11-30",
      "2025-12-31",
      "2026-01-31",
      "2026-02-28",
      "2026-03-31",
      "2026-04-30",
      "2026-05-31",
      "2026-06-30",
      "2026-07-31",
      "2026-08-31"
    ],
    "months": [
      "2018-01-01",
      "2018-02-01",
      "2018-03-01",
      "2018-04-01",
      "2018-05-01",
      "2018-06-01",
      "2018-07-01",
      "2018-08-01",
      "2018-09-01",
      "2018-10-01",
      "2018-11-01",
      "2018-12-01",
      "2019-01-01",
      "2019-02-01",
      "2019-03-01",
      "2019-04-01",
      "2019-05-01",
      "2019-06-01",
      "2019-07-01",
      "2019-08-01",
      "2019-09-01",
      "2019-10-01",
      "2019-11-01",
      "2019-12-01",
      "2020-01-01",
      "2020-02-01",
      "2020-03-01",
      "2020-04-01",
      "2020-05-01",
      "2020-06-01",
      "2020-07-01",
      "2020-08-01",
      "2020-09-01",
      "2020-10-01",
      "2020-11-01",
      "2020-12-01",
      "2021-01-01",
      "2021-02-01",
      "2021-03-01",
      "2021-04-01",
      "2021-05-01",
      "2021-06-01",
      "2021-07-01",
      "2021-08-01",
      "2021-09-01",
      "2021-10-01",
      "2021-11-01",
      "2021-12-01",
      "2022-01-01",
      "2022-02-01",
      "2022-03-01",
      "2022-04-01",
      "2022-05-01",
      "2022-06-01",
      "2022-07-01",
      "2022-08-01",
      "2022-09-01",
      "2022-10-01",
      "2022-11-01",
      "2022-12-01",
      "2023-01-01",
      "2023-02-01",
      "2023-03-01",
      "2023-04-01",
      "2023-05-01",
      "2023-06-01",
      "2023-07-01",
      "2023-08-01",
      "2023-09-01",
      "2023-10-01",
      "2023-11-01",
      "2023-12-01",
      "2024-01-01",
      "2024-02-01",
      "2024-03-01",
      "2024-04-01",
      "2024-05-01",
      "2024-06-01",
      "2024-07-01",
      "2024-08-01",
      "2024-09-01",
      "2024-10-01",
      "2024-11-01",
      "2024-12-01",
      "2025-01-01",
      "2025-02-01",
      "2025-03-01",
      "2025-04-01",
      "2025-05-01",
      "2025-06-01",
      "2025-07-01",
      "2025-08-01",
      "2025-09-01",
      "2025-11-01",
      "2025-12-01",
      "2026-01-01",
      "2026-02-01",
      "2026-03-01",
      "2026-04-01",
      "2026-05-01",
      "2026-06-01",
      "2026-07-01",
      "2026-08-01"
    ],
    "gauge_yoy_pct": [
      null,
      2.13,
      2.28,
      2.48,
      2.74,
      2.71,
      2.77,
      2.75,
      2.34,
      2.47,
      2.0,
      1.92,
      1.7,
      1.88,
      2.06,
      2.14,
      1.82,
      1.57,
      1.8,
      1.66,
      1.84,
      1.74,
      2.09,
      2.53,
      2.41,
      2.28,
      1.16,
      0.26,
      0.04,
      0.17,
      -0.01,
      0.43,
      0.51,
      0.58,
      0.52,
      1.0,
      1.26,
      1.67,
      2.47,
      3.44,
      4.92,
      5.95,
      7.26,
      7.91,
      8.42,
      9.34,
      10.35,
      10.52,
      10.82,
      11.46,
      12.11,
      12.13,
      12.14,
      12.16,
      10.93,
      9.78,
      9.32,
      8.78,
      7.45,
      6.29,
      6.08,
      5.27,
      4.1,
      4.15,
      3.04,
      1.99,
      1.72,
      2.23,
      2.16,
      1.4,
      1.22,
      1.75,
      1.52,
      1.69,
      1.95,
      1.96,
      1.92,
      1.65,
      1.63,
      1.18,
      0.98,
      1.34,
      1.55,
      1.82,
      2.0,
      1.91,
      1.7,
      1.36,
      1.47,
      1.73,
      1.68,
      1.82,
      2.1,
      2.15,
      1.67,
      1.8,
      1.76,
      2.86,
      3.06,
      3.44,
      2.86,
      3.06,
      2.87
    ],
    "source": [
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "reconstructed",
      "ledger",
      "ledger"
    ],
    "basis": "Vintage-true: at each month-end, the gauge headline as it could have been known that day. Publish-ledger readings where they exist (since 2026-07-08); before that a reconstruction that applies each official monthly print only from its first release date (CPI-U ALFRED vintages; component indexes release with the headline) and each live source only after its typical publication lag. Compare the hindsight series, which applies every monthly print from its reference month ~6 weeks early.",
    "lag_days": {
      "electricity": 86,
      "fuel": 1,
      "nat_gas": 91,
      "shelter_owned": 46,
      "shelter_rent": 46,
      "used_vehicles": 0
    },
    "n_ledger": 2,
    "n_reconstructed": 101,
    "validation": {
      "corr": 0.9475,
      "mean_abs_gap_pp": 0.98,
      "window": "2018-01..2026-08",
      "lead_lag": {
        "best_shift_months": 1,
        "corr": 0.9507
      }
    }
  }
}