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"2026-10-02", 42.18 ], [ "2026-10-03", 36.65 ], [ "2026-10-04", 35.32 ], [ "2026-10-05", 31.37 ] ] }, { "code": "ice_mass_hub", "label": "ISO-NE Mass Hub", "latest": 44.0, "asof": "2026-09-29", "unit": "$/MWh", "grid": "ISO-NE", "region": "New England", "product": "Day-ahead on-peak, ICE trades", "avg30": 44.65, "avg30_yoy_pct": 14.6, "spark": [ [ "2026-04-06", 57.87 ], [ "2026-04-07", 46.75 ], [ "2026-04-08", 44.56 ], [ "2026-04-09", 45.98 ], [ "2026-04-13", 53.78 ], [ "2026-04-14", 66.3 ], [ "2026-04-16", 50.29 ], [ "2026-04-17", 49.95 ], [ "2026-04-20", 54.4 ], [ "2026-04-21", 63.48 ], [ "2026-04-22", 43.94 ], [ "2026-04-23", 43.08 ], [ "2026-04-24", 49.0 ], [ "2026-04-27", 41.09 ], [ "2026-04-28", 56.23 ], [ "2026-04-30", 44.29 ], [ "2026-05-01", 44.0 ], [ "2026-05-04", 51.09 ], [ "2026-05-05", 60.56 ], [ "2026-05-06", 48.0 ], [ "2026-05-07", 45.93 ], [ "2026-05-08", 52.0 ], [ "2026-05-11", 44.19 ], [ "2026-05-12", 45.2 ], [ "2026-05-14", 44.98 ], [ "2026-05-15", 52.5 ], [ "2026-05-18", 89.99 ], [ "2026-05-19", 79.09 ], [ "2026-05-20", 41.33 ], [ "2026-05-21", 33.55 ], [ "2026-05-22", 46.0 ], [ "2026-05-26", 52.29 ], [ "2026-05-28", 45.42 ], [ "2026-05-29", 44.0 ], [ "2026-06-01", 44.24 ], [ "2026-06-02", 48.92 ], [ "2026-06-03", 52.96 ], [ "2026-06-04", 56.37 ], [ "2026-06-05", 47.0 ], [ "2026-06-08", 53.48 ], [ "2026-06-09", 61.09 ], [ "2026-06-11", 93.78 ], [ "2026-06-15", 47.68 ], [ "2026-06-17", 54.58 ], [ "2026-06-18", 46.0 ], [ "2026-06-22", 53.37 ], [ "2026-06-23", 47.18 ], [ "2026-06-25", 56.5 ], [ "2026-06-29", 76.9 ], [ "2026-06-30", 142.84 ], [ "2026-07-01", 257.47 ], [ "2026-07-02", 242.94 ], [ "2026-07-03", 53.0 ], [ "2026-07-06", 50.25 ], [ "2026-07-07", 52.0 ], [ "2026-07-09", 73.19 ], [ "2026-07-10", 62.0 ], [ "2026-07-13", 130.71 ], [ "2026-07-14", 179.07 ], [ "2026-07-15", 72.66 ], [ "2026-07-16", 51.79 ], [ "2026-07-20", 51.43 ], [ "2026-07-21", 56.03 ], [ "2026-07-23", 47.03 ], [ "2026-07-27", 55.52 ], [ "2026-07-28", 51.31 ], [ "2026-07-29", 47.0 ], [ "2026-07-30", 51.2 ], [ "2026-07-31", 63.29 ], [ "2026-08-03", 50.89 ], [ "2026-08-04", 59.6 ], [ "2026-08-06", 92.03 ], [ "2026-08-07", 70.0 ], [ "2026-08-10", 57.9 ], [ "2026-08-11", 52.28 ], [ "2026-08-12", 52.72 ], [ "2026-08-13", 45.55 ], [ "2026-08-14", 53.98 ], [ "2026-08-17", 57.35 ], [ "2026-08-18", 54.71 ], [ "2026-08-20", 49.44 ], [ "2026-08-24", 47.01 ], [ "2026-08-25", 49.89 ], [ "2026-08-26", 55.6 ], [ "2026-08-27", 57.73 ], [ "2026-08-28", 55.5 ], [ "2026-08-31", 56.04 ], [ "2026-09-01", 46.75 ], [ "2026-09-03", 51.83 ], [ "2026-09-08", 50.51 ], [ "2026-09-09", 53.06 ], [ "2026-09-10", 43.02 ], [ "2026-09-11", 44.0 ], [ "2026-09-14", 40.94 ], [ "2026-09-15", 46.93 ], [ "2026-09-17", 45.0 ], [ "2026-09-18", 40.29 ], [ "2026-09-21", 39.25 ], [ "2026-09-22", 39.27 ], [ "2026-09-23", 36.79 ], [ "2026-09-24", 37.07 ], [ "2026-09-25", 45.0 ], [ "2026-09-28", 43.88 ], [ "2026-09-29", 44.0 ] ] } ], "henry_hub": { "code": "eia_henry_hub", "label": "Henry Hub natural gas", "latest": 3.18, "asof": "2026-09-29", "unit": "$/MMBtu" }, "capacity_auction": { "source": "PJM RPM Base Residual Auction results (pjm.com); hand-updated after each auction", "asof": "2026-07-14", "rows": [ { "delivery_year": "2024/25", "price_mw_day": 28.92 }, { "delivery_year": "2025/26", "price_mw_day": 269.92 }, { "delivery_year": "2026/27", "price_mw_day": 329.17 }, { "delivery_year": "2027/28", "price_mw_day": 333.44 }, { "delivery_year": "2028/29", "price_mw_day": 325.0 } ], "multiple": 11.2, "years_span": 4 }, "capacity_markets": [ { "iso": "PJM", "name": "Base Residual Auction", "product": "RTO clearing price", "status": "auction", "note": "2028/29 cleared at the price cap", "source": "PJM", "source_url": "https://www.pjm.com/markets-and-operations/rpm", "asof": "2026-07-14", "rows": [ { "period": "2024/25", "price_mw_day": 28.92 }, { "period": "2025/26", "price_mw_day": 269.92 }, { "period": "2026/27", "price_mw_day": 329.17 }, { "period": "2027/28", "price_mw_day": 333.44 }, { "period": "2028/29", "price_mw_day": 325.0 } ] }, { "iso": "MISO", "name": "Planning Resource Auction", "product": "Annualized North/Central price", "status": "auction", "note": "MISO publishes annualized prices from 2025/26; earlier years are our day-weighted average of its seasonal prices. Summer 2025/26 cleared $666.50", "source": "MISO auction results", "source_url": "https://www.misoenergy.org/meet-miso/media-center/2026---news-releases/misos-planning-resource-auction-shows-sufficient-capacity-for-coming-year", "asof": "2026-04-28", "rows": [ { "period": "2023/24", "price_mw_day": 9.25, "native": "seasonal $10 / $15 / $2 / $10 per MW-day" }, { "period": "2024/25", "price_mw_day": 20.08, "native": "seasonal $30 / $15 / $0.75 / $34.10 per MW-day" }, { "period": "2025/26", "price_mw_day": 217.0, "native": "$217/MW-day annualized (MISO)" }, { "period": "2026/27", "price_mw_day": 126.19, "native": "$126.19/MW-day annualized (MISO)" } ] }, { "iso": "ISO-NE", "name": "Forward Capacity Auction", "product": "Rest-of-Pool clearing price", "status": "auction", "note": "No auction after 2027/28 until the redesigned market starts in 2028", "source": "ISO-NE", "source_url": "https://isonewswire.com/?p=6453", "asof": "2024-02-21", "rows": [ { "period": "2024/25", "price_mw_day": 85.81, "native": "$2.61/kW-month" }, { "period": "2025/26", "price_mw_day": 85.15, "native": "$2.59/kW-month" }, { "period": "2026/27", "price_mw_day": 85.15, "native": "$2.590/kW-month" }, { "period": "2027/28", "price_mw_day": 117.7, "native": "$3.58/kW-month" } ] }, { "iso": "NYISO", "name": "ICAP spot auctions", "product": "Rest of State, May\u2013April average", "status": "auction", "note": "New York City (Zone J) averaged $10.98/kW-month in 2025/26, about $361/MW-day", "source": "NYISO market monitor", "source_url": "https://potomaceconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/NYISO-2025-SOM-Report__5-19-2026-final.pdf", "asof": "2026-05-19", "rows": [ { "period": "2022/23", "price_mw_day": 89.69, "native": "$2.73/kW-month" }, { "period": "2023/24", "price_mw_day": 134.89, "native": "$4.10/kW-month" }, { "period": "2024/25", "price_mw_day": 101.98, "native": "$3.10/kW-month" }, { "period": "2025/26", "price_mw_day": 140.61, "native": "$4.28/kW-month" } ] }, { "iso": "ERCOT", "name": "", "product": "", "status": "none", "note": "runs an energy-only market: there is no capacity price, and scarcity pricing pays for new plants.", "source": "Potomac Economics", "source_url": "https://potomaceconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/2024-State-of-the-Market-Report.pdf", "asof": "2025-06-01", "rows": [] }, { "iso": "SPP", "name": "", "product": "", "status": "none", "note": "has no centralized capacity market; utilities must carry 16% summer and 36% winter reserve margins from 2026.", "source": "FERC order", "source_url": "https://www.spp.org/documents/74607/20250819_order%20-%20planning%20reserve%20margin%20(rr%20622)_er25-89-000.pdf", "asof": "2025-08-19", "rows": [] }, { "iso": "CAISO", "name": "", "product": "", "status": "none", "note": "relies on bilateral resource-adequacy contracts, not an auction; the CPUC reports system contracts averaged about $11.87/kW-month for 2025 (roughly $390/MW-day).", "source": "CPUC 2023 RA report", "source_url": "https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/-/media/cpuc-website/divisions/energy-division/documents/resource-adequacy-homepage/2023-resource-adequacy-reportv2.pdf", "asof": "2025-04-01", "rows": [] } ], "tariffs": [ { "utility": "Dominion Energy Virginia", "state": "VA", "grid": "PJM", "tariff": "Rate Schedule GS-5", "status": "Approved, Virginia SCC PUR-2025-00058 (Nov 25, 2025); applies to contracts signed from Jan 1, 2027", "min_take": "85% of contracted demand for distribution and transmission; 60% for generation", "term": "14 years, including up to a 4-year ramp", "threshold": "25 MW and a 75% load factor", "pipeline": "53.8 GW contracted, 12.0 GW of it under signed service agreements (Jul 2026)", "source": "Dominion Q2 2026 slides; SCC final order", "source_url": "https://s2.q4cdn.com/510812146/files/doc_financials/2026/q2/2026-07-31-DE-IR-2Q-2026-earnings-call-slides-vTCII.pdf", "asof": "2026-07-31", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "AEP Ohio", "state": "OH", "grid": "PJM", "tariff": "Data Center Tariff (Schedule DCT)", "status": "Approved, PUCO 24-0508-EL-ATA (Jul 9, 2025); appeal pending at the Ohio Supreme Court", "min_take": "Up to 85% of contract capacity (tiered formula)", "term": "Ramp of up to 4 years, then 8 years", "threshold": "25 MW of new data-center load", "pipeline": "About 12 GW of AEP's 69 GW contracted load through 2030 is in Ohio (Sep 2026)", "source": "AEP Ohio tariff page", "source_url": "https://www.aepohio.com/company/about/rates/data-center-tariff", "asof": "2026-10-04", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "Indiana Michigan Power", "state": "IN", "grid": "PJM", "tariff": "Large Load Terms (Tariff I.P.)", "status": "Approved, IURC Cause 46097 (Feb 19, 2025)", "min_take": "80% of contract capacity", "term": "12 years or more after a ramp of up to 5 years", "threshold": "70 MW per site or 150 MW aggregated", "pipeline": "Indiana peak load 2.8 GW today, more than 7 GW by about 2030", "source": "IURC order 46097", "source_url": "https://www.in.gov/iurc/files/ord_46097_021925.pdf", "asof": "2025-02-19", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "ComEd", "state": "IL", "grid": "PJM", "tariff": "Transmission Security Agreements and large-load deposits", "status": "First agreements signed Jan 2026; deposit tariff approved by the ICC (Docket 25-0677, Mar 2026)", "min_take": "Take-or-pay on transmission service, backed by 10 years of collateral", "term": "Not a retail minimum bill", "threshold": "50 MW", "pipeline": "About 9 GW in advanced design plus about 17 GW in cluster studies (Jul 2026)", "source": "Exelon Q2 2026 slides", "source_url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1109357/000110935726000077/exc-20260730ex992.htm", "asof": "2026-07-30", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "Georgia Power", "state": "GA", "grid": "Southeast (no RTO)", "tariff": "Large-load rules and contracting framework", "status": "Approved, Georgia PSC Docket 44280 (Jan and Apr 2025); base rates frozen through 2028", "min_take": "Minimum bill set to recover transmission and generation cost; no percentage published", "term": "Longer terms; leaving early owes the remaining minimum bills", "threshold": "100 MW", "pipeline": "12.4 GW committed across 31 customers (Mar 2026), plus OpenAI's 3.2 GW (Aug 2026); 76.2 GW pipeline", "source": "Georgia PSC large-load report", "source_url": "https://services.psc.ga.gov/api/v1/External/Public/Get/Document/DownloadFile/226607/107927", "asof": "2026-05-15", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "Duke Energy Carolinas and Progress", "state": "NC / SC", "grid": "Southeast (no RTO)", "tariff": "Large-load terms in service agreements; NC tariff proposed", "status": "Terms filed with the NCUC (E-100 Sub 208, Oct 2025); separate large-load tariff proceeding agreed Aug 2026", "min_take": "75% of contract demand", "term": "15 years or more", "threshold": "Proposed tariff: 50 MW (press report)", "pipeline": "7.8 GW of signed data-center service agreements (Aug 2026 call)", "source": "Duke NCUC filing", "source_url": "https://www.theassemblync.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/ViewFile.pdf", "asof": "2025-10-10", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "Entergy Louisiana", "state": "LA", "grid": "MISO", "tariff": "Customer-specific agreements (Meta)", "status": "Hyperion approved, LPSC U-37425 (Aug 20, 2025); a second 5.3 GW Meta agreement awaits a decision targeted for Dec 2026", "min_take": "Minimum monthly bills plus upfront contributions; percentage not disclosed", "term": "Not disclosed", "threshold": "Bespoke", "pipeline": "7 to 12 GW of potential data-center load beyond the current plan (May 2026)", "source": "Entergy 10-Q, Q2 2026", "source_url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/65984/000006598426000283/etr-20260630.htm", "asof": "2026-07-31", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "Texas (Oncor, CenterPoint, AEP Texas)", "state": "TX", "grid": "ERCOT", "tariff": "Statewide large-load rules under SB 6", "status": "Interconnection standards adopted, PUCT Project 58481 (effective Oct 8, 2026); 20-year minimum-billing rule proposed (Project 58000)", "min_take": "Proposed: 100% of contracted peak", "term": "Proposed: 20 years of payments", "threshold": "75 MW per site", "pipeline": "ERCOT tracks about 474 GW of large-load requests, about 90% data centers (Jun 2026)", "source": "PUCT order, Project 58481", "source_url": "https://interchange.puc.texas.gov/Documents/58481_218_1684654.PDF", "asof": "2026-09-18", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "Evergy", "state": "KS / MO", "grid": "SPP", "tariff": "Large Load Power Service (LLPS)", "status": "Approved, KCC 25-EKME-315-TAR (Nov 6, 2025) and Missouri PSC EO-2025-0154 (Nov 13, 2025)", "min_take": "80% of contract demand", "term": "12 years plus an optional ramp of up to 5 years", "threshold": "75 MW", "pipeline": "About 2.6 GW of data-center service agreements signed in 2026", "source": "Kansas Corporation Commission", "source_url": "https://www.kcc.ks.gov/news-11-6-25", "asof": "2025-11-06", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "Ameren Missouri", "state": "MO", "grid": "MISO", "tariff": "Large Load Customer Service (Schedule LLCS)", "status": "Approved, Missouri PSC ET-2025-0184 (Nov 24, 2025)", "min_take": "80% of contract capacity", "term": "12 years plus an optional ramp of up to 5 years", "threshold": "75 MW", "pipeline": "2.8 GW of signed service agreements; 3.4 GW under construction agreements (Jul 2026)", "source": "Missouri PSC stipulation", "source_url": "https://efis.psc.mo.gov/Document/Display/856767", "asof": "2025-11-07", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "Xcel Energy (Minnesota)", "state": "MN", "grid": "MISO", "tariff": "Large-load tariff", "status": "Approved, Minnesota PUC M-25-289 (May 2026); Colorado and Wisconsin versions pending", "min_take": "80% minimum bill and exit fee (PUC); Xcel's deck still lists 75%", "term": "15 years; 24-month exit notice", "threshold": "100 MW", "pipeline": "About 2 GW contracted or under construction; more than 20 GW pipeline (Jul 2026)", "source": "Minnesota PUC release", "source_url": "https://content.govdelivery.com/bulletins/gd/MNPUBUC-417d139", "asof": "2026-05-18", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "PPL Electric", "state": "PA", "grid": "PJM", "tariff": "Large-load rate class", "status": "Approved in the rate-case settlement, PA PUC R-2025-3057164 (order Jun 11, 2026; rates from Jul 1, 2026)", "min_take": "Not disclosed", "term": "Minimum 10 years (press report)", "threshold": "Large-load class", "pipeline": "31.8 GW in advanced planning; more than 11 GW under signed service agreements (Aug 2026)", "source": "PPL Q2 2026 8-K", "source_url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/922224/000092222426000042/ppl-6302026exhibit991.htm", "asof": "2026-08-07", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "FirstEnergy", "state": "OH / PA / NJ / MD / WV", "grid": "PJM", "tariff": "Ohio Data Center Tariff", "status": "Pending, PUCO 26-0697-EL-ATA (filed Jun 12, 2026)", "min_take": "Not yet set", "term": "Not yet set", "threshold": "Data-center load", "pipeline": "24.8 GW of data-center demand, 6.4 GW of it contracted (Q2 2026)", "source": "FirstEnergy Q2 2026 8-K", "source_url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1031296/000103129626000122/ex9922q26strategicfinanc.htm", "asof": "2026-07-28", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "Arizona Public Service", "state": "AZ", "grid": "Western (WEIM)", "tariff": "Rate Schedule XHLF (Extra High Load Factor)", "status": "In effect since Mar 2024; changes pending in rate case E-01345A-25-0105 (ACC vote due by Dec 31, 2026)", "min_take": "Set customer by customer in each supply agreement", "term": "Set in each supply agreement", "threshold": "5 MW at a 92% load factor", "pipeline": "4.5 GW committed; about 20 GW uncommitted (Sep 2026)", "source": "Pinnacle West investor deck", "source_url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/764622/000076462226000049/octoberinvestordeck.htm", "asof": "2026-09-30", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "Salt River Project", "state": "AZ", "grid": "Western (public power)", "tariff": "Price Plan E-67 (large-load substation service)", "status": "Approved by the SRP board; effective with the Nov 2025 billing cycle", "min_take": "80% of forecast demand", "term": "Set in each service agreement", "threshold": "20 MW, or 20 MW expected within 5 years", "pipeline": "Data centers were 5.1% of SRP's summer 2025 peak; no GW pipeline published", "source": "SRP E-67 price plan", "source_url": "https://www.srpnet.com/assets/srpnet/pdf/price-plans/FY26/TCA%20Ratebooks/2025%20Ratebook%20E-67%20with%20TCA.pdf", "asof": "2025-11-01", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "NV Energy", "state": "NV", "grid": "Western (WEIM)", "tariff": "Standard large-load service agreement", "status": "Filed with the 2026 resource plan (May 2026); approval requested by Sep 18, 2026", "min_take": "90% of maximum demand after the ramp", "term": "10 years or more", "threshold": "25 MW", "pipeline": "About 5.7 GW under signed agreements and 11.2 GW in study (Aug 2025)", "source": "NV Energy 2026 IRP, Volume 7", "source_url": "https://www.nvenergy.com/publish/content/dam/nvenergy/brochures_arch/about-nvenergy/rates-regulatory/recent-regulatory-filings/2026-irp/NPC-SPPC-Volume-7.pdf", "asof": "2026-05-01", "confidence": "filed" }, { "utility": "PG&E", "state": "CA", "grid": "CAISO", "tariff": "Electric Rule 30 (transmission-level retail service)", "status": "Interim rule approved, D.25-07-039 (Jul 2025); final rule pending in A.24-11-007", "min_take": "Proposed: 75% of contracted capacity in years 1\u201315", "term": "Proposed: 15 years after a ramp of up to 4 years", "threshold": "20 MW", "pipeline": "12.7 GW of data-center requests (Jun 2026)", "source": "PG&E testimony, A.24-11-007", "source_url": "https://docs.cpuc.ca.gov/PublishedDocs/SupDoc/A2411007/9125/604598933.pdf", "asof": "2026-07-23", "confidence": "filed" } ] }, "context": { "colo": { "rate_kw_mo": 204.69, "yoy_pct": 4.3, "vacancy_pct": 1.4, "under_construction_gw": 7.48, "asof": "H1 2026", "source": "CBRE North America Data Center Trends H1 2026 (cbre.com, 2026-08-27): primary-market 250-500 kW asking rate (Figure 3), vacancy, under construction 7,481.1 MW" }, "queue": { "generation_gw": 1400, "storage_gw": 890, "asof": "2025 Edition (data as of end of 2024)", "source": "LBNL Queued Up: 2025 Edition, Dec 2025 (emp.lbl.gov)" }, "peers": [ { "key": "tnt_dcci", "firm": "Turner & Townsend", "short": "T&T DCCI", "publication": "Data Centre Construction Cost Index 2025-2026", "source": "Turner & Townsend Data Centre Construction Cost Index 2025-2026 (turnerandtownsend.com)", "asof": "2025-2026 edition", "scope": "dc", "basis": "cost_model", "period_basis": "calendar_year", "geography": "global", "derived": false, "caveat": "Data-centre specific, but global rather than US. This is T&T's cost-index headline, not their separate tender price inflation metric.", "quote": "an average 15 percent uplift in local currency construction costs (2022) | the overall average year-on-year cost increase across the index from 2022-2023 is six percent | the overall average year-on-year cost increase across the 2024 index is nine percent, compared to six percent in 2023 | 5.5 percent increase in the cost per watt (2025)", "rows": [ { "year": 2022, "escalation_pct": 15.0, "build_yoy_pct": 8.94 }, { "year": 2023, "escalation_pct": 6.0, "build_yoy_pct": 3.64 }, { "year": 2024, "escalation_pct": 9.0, "build_yoy_pct": 2.74 }, { "year": 2025, "escalation_pct": 5.5, "build_yoy_pct": 7.71 } ] }, { "key": "turner_tbci", "firm": "Turner Construction", "short": "Turner BCI", "publication": "Turner Building Cost Index, 2026 2nd quarter", "source": "Turner Building Cost Index Q2 2026 (turnerconstruction.com)", "asof": "Q2 2026", "scope": "nonres_building", "basis": "bid_price", "period_basis": "annual_average", "geography": "us", "derived": false, "caveat": "US non-residential building of every type, not data centres. A bid-price proxy: Turner's published method includes the competitive condition of the marketplace, so bid climate and contractor margin sit inside the number \u2014 though Turner stops short of saying the series prices accepted tenders.", "quote": "The Turner Building Cost Index is determined by the following factors considered on a nationwide basis: labor rates and productivity, material prices and the competitive condition of the marketplace. | YEAR / AVERAGE INDEX / % \u2014 2025 1485 4.1 | 2024 1426 3.9 | 2023 1373 6.0 | 2022 1295 8.0 | 2021 1199 1.9 | 2020 1177 1.8 | 2019 1156 5.5 | 2018 1096 5.6", "rows": [ { "year": 2018, "escalation_pct": 5.6, "build_yoy_pct": 5.38 }, { "year": 2019, "escalation_pct": 5.5, "build_yoy_pct": 1.22 }, { "year": 2020, "escalation_pct": 1.8, "build_yoy_pct": 2.6 }, { "year": 2021, "escalation_pct": 1.9, "build_yoy_pct": 20.48 }, { "year": 2022, "escalation_pct": 8.0, "build_yoy_pct": 8.94 }, { "year": 2023, "escalation_pct": 6.0, "build_yoy_pct": 3.64 }, { "year": 2024, "escalation_pct": 3.9, "build_yoy_pct": 2.74 }, { "year": 2025, "escalation_pct": 4.1, "build_yoy_pct": 7.71 } ] }, { "key": "bls_ppi_office", "firm": "US Bureau of Labor Statistics", "short": "BLS office PPI", "publication": "PPI by industry: new office building construction (PCU236223236223)", "source": "BLS PPI series PCU236223236223 (api.bls.gov)", "asof": "December 2025 final; series runs to June 2026, preliminary", "scope": "office_building", "basis": "output_price", "period_basis": "dec_over_dec", "geography": "us", "derived": true, "caveat": "Office buildings, not data centres \u2014 the de facto deflator for DC capital plans because BLS publishes no data-centre construction PPI. An output-price index: it measures what contractors receive, not what inputs cost. Dec-over-Dec computed by us from the published index levels.", "quote": "December index levels, BLS series PCU236223236223: 2017 132.3 | 2018 139.7 | 2019 144.7 | 2020 146.9 | 2021 167.361 | 2022 200.106 | 2023 204.580 | 2024 210.225 | 2025 216.724", "rows": [ { "year": 2018, "escalation_pct": 5.59, "build_yoy_pct": 5.38 }, { "year": 2019, "escalation_pct": 3.58, "build_yoy_pct": 1.22 }, { "year": 2020, "escalation_pct": 1.52, "build_yoy_pct": 2.6 }, { "year": 2021, "escalation_pct": 13.93, "build_yoy_pct": 20.48 }, { "year": 2022, "escalation_pct": 19.57, "build_yoy_pct": 8.94 }, { "year": 2023, "escalation_pct": 2.24, "build_yoy_pct": 3.64 }, { "year": 2024, "escalation_pct": 2.76, "build_yoy_pct": 2.74 }, { "year": 2025, "escalation_pct": 3.09, "build_yoy_pct": 7.71 } ] } ], "transformer": null, "kalshi": { "dc_count_expected": 5270.0, "count_asof": "2026-10-02", "nuclear_by_2030_prob": 0.49, "nuclear_asof": "2026-10-02" }, "diesel": { "latest": 6.38, "asof": "2026-09-28", "unit": "$/gal" }, "water": { "yoy_pct": 4.76, "asof": "2026-08-01" } }, "clause_series": [ { "basket": "build", "code": "constr_wages", "label": "Construction wages", "series": "ces_constr_ahe", "source_id": "CES2000000003", "months": [ "2016-01", "2016-02", "2016-03", "2016-04", "2016-05", "2016-06", "2016-07", "2016-08", "2016-09", "2016-10", "2016-11", "2016-12", "2017-01", "2017-02", "2017-03", "2017-04", "2017-05", "2017-06", "2017-07", "2017-08", "2017-09", "2017-10", "2017-11", "2017-12", "2018-01", "2018-02", "2018-03", "2018-04", "2018-05", "2018-06", "2018-07", "2018-08", "2018-09", "2018-10", "2018-11", "2018-12", "2019-01", "2019-02", "2019-03", "2019-04", "2019-05", "2019-06", "2019-07", "2019-08", "2019-09", "2019-10", "2019-11", "2019-12", "2020-01", "2020-02", "2020-03", "2020-04", "2020-05", "2020-06", "2020-07", "2020-08", "2020-09", "2020-10", "2020-11", "2020-12", "2021-01", "2021-02", "2021-03", "2021-04", "2021-05", "2021-06", "2021-07", "2021-08", "2021-09", "2021-10", 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