{
  "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
  "title": "outlook",
  "type": "object",
  "required": [
    "published_at", "model", "as_of", "origin_month", "horizon_months",
    "latest_complete_month_yoy_pct", "history", "forecast", "base_effects_only",
    "sigma_monthly_pp", "sigma_window_months", "driver_coverage_pct", "drivers",
    "component_paths", "parameters", "method", "disclaimer"
  ],
  "additionalProperties": false,
  "properties": {
    "published_at": {"type": "string"},
    "model": {"type": "string"},
    "as_of": {"type": "string"},
    "origin_month": {"type": "string", "pattern": "^[0-9]{4}-[0-9]{2}$"},
    "horizon_months": {"type": "integer", "minimum": 1},
    "latest_complete_month_yoy_pct": {"type": "number"},
    "history": {
      "type": "array", "minItems": 1,
      "items": {"$ref": "#/$defs/yoyPoint"}
    },
    "forecast": {
      "type": "array", "minItems": 1,
      "items": {
        "type": "object", "additionalProperties": false,
        "required": ["month", "central_yoy_pct", "mom_pct", "low_yoy_pct", "high_yoy_pct"],
        "properties": {
          "month": {"type": "string", "pattern": "^[0-9]{4}-[0-9]{2}$"},
          "central_yoy_pct": {"type": "number"},
          "mom_pct": {"type": "number"},
          "low_yoy_pct": {"type": "number"},
          "high_yoy_pct": {"type": "number"}
        }
      }
    },
    "base_effects_only": {
      "type": "array", "minItems": 1,
      "items": {"$ref": "#/$defs/yoyPoint"}
    },
    "sigma_monthly_pp": {"type": "number", "minimum": 0},
    "sigma_window_months": {"type": "integer", "minimum": 0},
    "driver_coverage_pct": {"type": "number", "minimum": 0, "maximum": 100},
    "drivers": {
      "type": "array", "minItems": 1,
      "items": {
        "type": "object", "additionalProperties": false,
        "required": ["key", "name", "value", "unit", "reading", "as_of", "status", "effect", "sources"],
        "properties": {
          "key": {"type": "string"}, "name": {"type": "string"},
          "value": {"type": ["number", "null"]}, "unit": {"type": "string"},
          "reading": {"type": "string"}, "as_of": {"type": ["string", "null"]},
          "status": {"enum": ["live", "partial", "fallback"]},
          "effect": {"type": "string"},
          "sources": {"type": "array", "items": {"type": "string"}}
        }
      }
    },
    "component_paths": {
      "type": "object", "minProperties": 1,
      "additionalProperties": {
        "type": "array", "minItems": 1,
        "items": {
          "type": "object", "additionalProperties": false,
          "required": ["month", "mom_pct", "index"],
          "properties": {
            "month": {"type": "string", "pattern": "^[0-9]{4}-[0-9]{2}$"},
            "mom_pct": {"type": "number"},
            "index": {"type": "number", "exclusiveMinimum": 0}
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "parameters": {"type": "object"},
    "method": {"type": "string"},
    "disclaimer": {"type": "string"}
  },
  "$defs": {
    "yoyPoint": {
      "type": "object", "additionalProperties": false,
      "required": ["month", "yoy_pct"],
      "properties": {
        "month": {"type": "string", "pattern": "^[0-9]{4}-[0-9]{2}$"},
        "yoy_pct": {"type": "number"}
      }
    }
  }
}