Real Wage Tracker wage growth vs the daily inflation gauge — and a calculator for your own raise
Wage growth (Atlanta Fed)
4.1%
median, 3mo MA · as of Aug 2026
Inflation right now
3.2%
macrogauge, daily · as of 2026-10-02
Real wage growth
0.8%
mixed periods: Aug 2026 wages deflated by 2026-10-02 inflation — not a same-month comparison
Your raise, in real terms
Your raise, in real terms
vs today's prices (macrogauge)
+0.74% real
vs official CPI (Aug 2026)
+0.58% real
Real change = (1 + raise) ÷ (1 + inflation) − 1 · gauge −0.16pp vs official
Wages vs inflation — when green is above amber, paychecks are winning
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Methodology
Sources: Atlanta Fed Wage Growth Tracker (unweighted median, 3-month moving average, same-person wages; FRED FRBATLWGT3MMAUMHWGO), BLS Average Hourly Earnings, total private (YoY computed in the pipeline; FRED CES0500000003), and the macrogauge daily gauge. Real change = (1 + raise) ÷ (1 + inflation) − 1. The original site's second wage line (Indeed posted wages) is not publicly feedable — see the Labor Market dashboard for the full jobs picture (payrolls, claims, wage growth).